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Even though N is foundational rather than calibratable, it is worth documenting how ARTnet-generated network targets change at different plausible values. Some target statistics scale linearly with N (edges, nodefactor counts); others are invariant (mean degree, mixing proportions); some may behave non-trivially (concurrency, durations under TERGM dissolution coefs).
This issue produces the empirical sensitivity evidence needed to make a defensible call once the literature and surveillance audits close. It can proceed in parallel with the other popsize2026 issues since it does not depend on their conclusions.
Investigation tasks
Run build_netstats() for Atlanta at N values: 53K (Islek), 72K (Bennett-derived), 102K (Grey), and any other defensible candidates that emerge from the literature/PHSKC issues.
Repeat for Seattle at the corresponding values: 38K (Islek), Bennett-derived if available, 82K (Grey), and PHSKC-implied.
Tabulate edges, mean degree per layer, concurrency, momentary degree distributions, and key mixing matrices side-by-side.
Identify which target statistics scale linearly with N, which are invariant, and which behave non-trivially.
Document the scaling behavior for the future-self / collaborators audience: what changes by simply rescaling existing targets vs what would require re-fitting upstream models.
Optionally: run a short ERGM estimation pass at each N to confirm convergence behavior is stable across the range.
Priority
Medium. Larger time investment but produces the empirical sensitivity numbers needed for a defensible decision.
Context
Even though N is foundational rather than calibratable, it is worth documenting how ARTnet-generated network targets change at different plausible values. Some target statistics scale linearly with N (edges, nodefactor counts); others are invariant (mean degree, mixing proportions); some may behave non-trivially (concurrency, durations under TERGM dissolution coefs).
This issue produces the empirical sensitivity evidence needed to make a defensible call once the literature and surveillance audits close. It can proceed in parallel with the other popsize2026 issues since it does not depend on their conclusions.
Investigation tasks
build_netstats()for Atlanta at N values: 53K (Islek), 72K (Bennett-derived), 102K (Grey), and any other defensible candidates that emerge from the literature/PHSKC issues.Priority
Medium. Larger time investment but produces the empirical sensitivity numbers needed for a defensible decision.
Source
Plan: inst/popsize/msm_population_size_discussion.md, §Q5.